Almost 90% of players who set out to beat the bookmakers end up losing to them. Some claim to have a "unique" method to beat the bookmaker, but we can confidently say – that's not true. We track several hundred bookmakers and can tell you that winning against a bookmaker requires cold calculation, using a specialized automated service or software. Many good players now work for the bookmakers themselves, so 100% of the "strategies" sold or published online simply do not work. These are well-known steps, methods, and tricks.
Let's understand why so many players still ask, "how to beat the bookmaker?" and believe what they read on forums. The answer lies in human psychology. Each of us wants to believe that we can effortlessly and without investment win against companies that spend millions to minimize the possibility of losing money.
It's worth noting that most players quit online betting at stage 3 because the winnings are small, it takes a lot of time, and the risks are high. At this point, they start looking for universal ways to beat the bookmaker in sports betting and in 99% of cases just lose their money. Even if the strategy might be correct overall.
But why doesn’t it work, you ask?
Process automation, we answer. For example, you sit in front of a monitor and see many bookmaker quotes. There are a lot of them. You really want to win. To beat the bookmaker who has already taken a lot of your money. But the question is – how do you analyze more than 1000 events? What if there are over 100 bookmakers? And then you start missing those events that could have made you money.
About 10 years ago, we were also developing our own strategies, staying up all night thinking – where to bet? To which bookmaker to transfer money? But in the end, we realized that probability theory, statistics, and automation are what we needed.
We can confidently say that the only strategy that allows you to beat a bookmaker in sports betting is finding arbitrage bets. In automatic mode. Across all bookmakers. This is truly a risk-free strategy. But it is extremely difficult without automation. Or even practically impossible.
For example, there is a fight between Boxer 1 and Boxer 2. Many bookmakers give their quotes for this fight. For example, 1.40-2.75. All the bookmakers’ odds will be approximately the same, otherwise, if someone sets the odds around 1.6-2.5, all players will place so many bets on 1.6 that the bookmaker will never collect money on the opposite end. This is a huge risk for the bookmaker. And as we remember, a bookmaker doesn’t like losing money.
Suddenly, it becomes known that Boxer 1 injured his hand. Following this news, bookmakers start lowering the odds on Boxer 1. Depending on the human factor and the software used (on the bookmaker’s side), some bookmakers might simply not change the quote. And we get the simplest arbitrage bet.
Now imagine your chances of finding such an arbitrage bet among 1000 offers from one bookmaker? And what if there are 100 bookmakers?
Finding arbitrage bets on your own, and thus safely beat the bookmaker, is very difficult. We've managed to do it about 10 times.
But with the help of our online service for finding arbitrage bets, we can detect thousands of arbitrage bets across over 400 bookmakers. Isn't that a universal (and most importantly – working) method that allows you to beat the bookmaker in sports betting?
